| Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? |
No |
226 |
0.961 |
$217.00 |
$147.00 |
+210.0% |
| Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31? |
No |
193 |
0.745 |
$143.59 |
$83.59 |
+139.3% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
121 |
0.989 |
$119.98 |
$19.98 |
+20.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
143 |
0.760 |
$108.57 |
$8.57 |
+8.6% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.950 |
$96.07 |
$6.07 |
+6.7% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.936 |
$94.70 |
$4.70 |
+5.2% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.915 |
$92.17 |
$2.17 |
+2.4% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 28, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$92.00 |
$2.00 |
+2.2% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 19, 2026? |
No |
85 |
0.950 |
$80.94 |
$10.94 |
+15.6% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.905 |
$71.99 |
$1.99 |
+2.8% |
| Will Eduardo Camavinga join Inter Milan? |
No |
56 |
0.966 |
$53.62 |
$3.62 |
+7.2% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.940 |
$52.48 |
$2.48 |
+5.0% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.925 |
$51.39 |
$1.39 |
+2.8% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.945 |
$42.95 |
$2.95 |
+7.4% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.535 |
$30.82 |
$-19.18 |
-38.4% |
| Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15? |
No |
47 |
0.585 |
$27.21 |
$7.21 |
+36.0% |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? |
No |
31 |
0.600 |
$18.46 |
$-1.54 |
-7.7% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.890 |
$17.45 |
$7.45 |
+74.5% |
| Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.925 |
$13.41 |
$3.41 |
+34.1% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
15 |
0.655 |
$9.92 |
$-0.08 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? |
Yes |
12 |
0.305 |
$3.72 |
$-1.28 |
-25.6% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? |
Yes |
5 |
0.455 |
$2.35 |
$-0.65 |
-21.6% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.045 |
$0.96 |
$-9.04 |
-90.4% |