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Trader leaderboard/dgfd76

dgfd76

0x191e35891382d3d6590918ff7a4b732689c1ef6b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$232
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$44
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
45W / 42L · 88 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
86W / 86L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
175
across 47 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$13.63
avg win $26 · loss $9
Profit Factor
5.18
$287 won / $55 lost
Reward / Risk
2.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$48
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,192 · all-time $68,378

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.2% 337W/274L 367 $15,885
🏛 Politics 37.3% 25W/42L 28 $1,400
🎬 Culture 39.1% 27W/42L 27 $911
🤖 Tech 75.0% 3W/1L 25 $530
💵 Economy 66.7% 2W/1L 9 $158
⚽ Sports 42.9% 3W/4L 4 $24
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

178 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? No 413 0.785 $323.82 $4.36 +1.4%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No 380 0.790 $300.17 $15.06 +5.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 317 0.835 $264.39 $28.67 +12.2%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? No 223 0.940 $209.67 $26.77 +14.6%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 221 0.845 $186.94 $21.18 +12.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 184 0.987 $181.52 $12.67 +7.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? Yes 195 0.750 $146.44 $38.08 +35.1%
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? No 164 0.869 $142.48 $0.49 +0.3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes 984 0.135 $132.80 $-18.51 -12.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.780 $117.00 $33.50 +40.1%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 127 0.850 $108.33 $29.31 +37.1%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 154 0.637 $98.25 $38.83 +65.3%
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No 109 0.903 $98.15 $5.10 +5.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 96 0.925 $88.89 $0.49 +0.5%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 140 0.615 $86.17 $0.70 +0.8%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.820 $82.00 $1.00 +1.2%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30? No 110 0.722 $79.65 $19.37 +32.1%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No 86 0.925 $79.28 $0.58 +0.7%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? Yes 104 0.750 $78.22 $57.11 +270.6%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes 108 0.690 $74.45 $9.38 +14.4%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 143 0.515 $73.49 $-2.93 -3.8%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 74 0.958 $70.74 $57.44 +431.9%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 114 0.580 $65.92 $7.40 +12.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No 74 0.850 $63.28 $5.38 +9.3%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 148 0.415 $61.55 $17.22 +38.8%