| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? |
No |
413 |
0.785 |
$323.82 |
$4.36 |
+1.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
380 |
0.790 |
$300.17 |
$15.06 |
+5.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
317 |
0.835 |
$264.39 |
$28.67 |
+12.2% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
223 |
0.940 |
$209.67 |
$26.77 |
+14.6% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
No |
221 |
0.845 |
$186.94 |
$21.18 |
+12.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
184 |
0.987 |
$181.52 |
$12.67 |
+7.5% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
195 |
0.750 |
$146.44 |
$38.08 |
+35.1% |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? |
No |
164 |
0.869 |
$142.48 |
$0.49 |
+0.3% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
984 |
0.135 |
$132.80 |
$-18.51 |
-12.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.785 |
$117.75 |
$34.25 |
+41.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.845 |
$107.70 |
$28.68 |
+36.3% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
154 |
0.641 |
$98.94 |
$39.52 |
+66.5% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
109 |
0.903 |
$98.15 |
$5.10 |
+5.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
96 |
0.925 |
$88.89 |
$0.49 |
+0.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
140 |
0.615 |
$86.17 |
$0.70 |
+0.8% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.820 |
$82.00 |
$1.00 |
+1.2% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30? |
No |
110 |
0.722 |
$79.70 |
$19.43 |
+32.2% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.925 |
$79.28 |
$0.58 |
+0.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
104 |
0.750 |
$78.22 |
$57.11 |
+270.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.685 |
$73.92 |
$8.86 |
+13.6% |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
143 |
0.515 |
$73.49 |
$-2.93 |
-3.8% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
74 |
0.948 |
$70.00 |
$56.70 |
+426.4% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
114 |
0.580 |
$65.92 |
$7.40 |
+12.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
74 |
0.845 |
$62.91 |
$5.01 |
+8.7% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
148 |
0.415 |
$61.55 |
$17.22 |
+38.8% |