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Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$33
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
661W / 425L · 138 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
714W / 502L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
1,224
across 51 markets · ~24 per market
EV / position
+$0.76
avg win $79 · loss $64
Profit Factor
1.02
$1,576 won / $1,543 lost
Reward / Risk
1.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$756
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,655 · all-time $2,269,222
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
55.2%
1,432W/1,163L
|
116 |
$69,377 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
57.0%
227W/171L
|
19 |
$10,294 |
|
🎬 Culture
|
57.0%
227W/171L
|
19 |
$10,294 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,206 |
0.179 |
$216.42 |
$97.93 |
+82.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
175 |
0.585 |
$102.38 |
$-16.62 |
-14.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
877 |
0.082 |
$71.90 |
$-1.69 |
-2.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
343 |
0.125 |
$42.92 |
$4.66 |
+12.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
175 |
0.025 |
$4.44 |
$-6.06 |
-57.7% |