PnL (30d)

+$281

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

1,432W / 1,163L · 160 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

1,493W / 1,254L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

2,755

across 116 markets · ~24 per market

EV / position

+$2.68

avg win $88 · loss $69

Profit Factor

1.07

$4,212 won / $3,931 lost

Reward / Risk

1.27

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$860

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.2% 1,432W/1,163L	116	$69,377
🏛 Politics	57.0% 227W/171L	19	$10,294
🎬 Culture	57.0% 227W/171L	19	$10,294

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,206	0.178	$215.22	$96.73	+81.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	175	0.585	$102.38	$-16.62	-14.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	977	0.071	$69.25	$-12.73	-15.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	343	0.105	$36.05	$-2.21	-5.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	175	0.032	$5.51	$-4.99	-47.5%