PnL (30d)

+$25

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$692

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

19W / 3L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

26W / 4L

Trades (30d)

30

across 10 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$4.14

avg win $84 · loss $393

Profit Factor

1.06

$418 won / $393 lost

Reward / Risk

0.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$25

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	67.1% 49W/24L	27	$33,376
🏛 Politics	50.0% 2W/2L	3	$2,768

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	3,117	0.715	$2,228.84	$284.84	+14.7%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	971	0.994	$965.01	$307.01	+46.7%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	755	0.162	$122.33	$17.83	+17.1%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	253	0.365	$92.20	$-66.23	-41.8%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	310	0.095	$29.45	$-35.65	-54.8%