cmarx
0x173314380de52766200850634f85a1b7a88b9411
PnL (30d)
+$1,255
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,147
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
47W / 24L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
62W / 30L
Trades (30d)
92
across 27 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$66.07
avg win $340 · loss $527
Profit Factor
1.40
$4,419 won / $3,164 lost
Reward / Risk
0.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,379
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,681 · all-time $182,152
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
66.2%
47W/24L
|
27 |
$33,376 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
50.0%
2W/2L
|
3 |
$2,768 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
3,117 |
0.715 |
$2,228.84 |
$284.84 |
+14.7% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
971 |
0.994 |
$965.01 |
$307.01 |
+46.7% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
755 |
0.162 |
$122.33 |
$17.83 |
+17.1% |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? |
Yes |
111 |
1.000 |
$111.21 |
$25.16 |
+29.2% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
253 |
0.355 |
$89.68 |
$-68.76 |
-43.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
310 |
0.095 |
$29.45 |
$-35.65 |
-54.8% |