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Trader leaderboard/M21xss

M21xss

0x171f9cc6860e8bd41ca40d8d885e8440b987d613
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$150
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+19.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
114W / 51L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
114W / 52L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
169
across 85 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.80
avg win $7 · loss $4
Profit Factor
2.09
$287 won / $138 lost
Reward / Risk
1.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $41 · all-time $83,545

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.7% 198W/113L 159 $1,826
⚽ Sports 60.0% 3W/2L 6 $11
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $15
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 97 0.385 $37.47 $1.57 +4.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 186 0.155 $28.89 $-5.12 -15.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 32 0.830 $26.77 $21.05 +368.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 16 1.000 $16.33 $3.14 +23.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 42 0.175 $7.35 $2.52 +52.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4 0.845 $3.04 $0.31 +11.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 7 0.405 $2.75 $1.73 +170.0%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 4 0.485 $1.94 $0.22 +12.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 12 0.145 $1.68 $-5.59 -76.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 2 0.940 $1.48 $0.19 +14.6%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes 6 0.115 $0.71 $-4.70 -87.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? Yes 72 0.002 $0.11 $-7.81 -98.6%
Call of Duty: KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group A Carolina Royal Ravens 3 0.001 $0.00 $-1.26 -99.9%