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Trader leaderboard/M21xss

M21xss

0x171f9cc6860e8bd41ca40d8d885e8440b987d613
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
8W / 9L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
8W / 19L
Trades (30d)
27
across 10 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.35
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.72
$7 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $41 · all-time $83,545

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.7% 198W/113L 159 $1,826
⚽ Sports 60.0% 3W/2L 6 $11
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $15
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 97 0.375 $36.50 $0.60 +1.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 186 0.155 $28.89 $-5.12 -15.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 32 0.805 $25.96 $20.24 +353.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 16 1.000 $16.33 $3.14 +23.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 42 0.165 $6.93 $2.10 +43.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4 0.845 $3.04 $0.31 +11.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 7 0.365 $2.48 $1.46 +143.3%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 4 0.485 $1.94 $0.22 +12.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 12 0.165 $1.91 $-5.36 -73.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 2 0.945 $1.49 $0.20 +15.2%
Call of Duty: KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group A Carolina Royal Ravens 3 0.370 $1.14 $-0.12 -9.8%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes 6 0.115 $0.71 $-4.70 -87.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? Yes 72 0.004 $0.29 $-7.63 -96.4%