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Trader leaderboard/resilience26

resilience26

0x16da1dfba37b7b8f3b313924e327131b84b805c0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$70
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$583
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
11W / 3L · 2,597 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
1,162W / 1,344L · 105 open
Trades (30d)
2,611
across 479 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$17.62
avg win $8 · loss $43
Profit Factor
0.18
$15 won / $86 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $52,195 · all-time $2,222,374

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.6% 1,016W/1,033L 646 $98,028
🏛 Politics 216 $12,135
💵 Economy 10 $1,224
🎬 Culture 3 $45

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? Yes 918 0.625 $573.97 $-135.64 -19.1%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 2,998 0.135 $404.72 $-69.50 -14.7%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 2,780 0.135 $375.34 $-43.56 -10.4%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No 773 0.358 $276.74 $-72.34 -20.7%
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? Yes 270 0.935 $252.10 $-0.96 -0.4%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes 910 0.257 $233.42 $-52.90 -18.5%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? No 211 0.933 $196.97 $-5.38 -2.7%
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? No 180 0.910 $163.97 $-0.84 -0.5%
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? Yes 645 0.251 $161.88 $-59.51 -26.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? No 274 0.590 $161.66 $-40.00 -19.8%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? No 298 0.525 $156.40 $7.39 +5.0%
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 9,267 0.017 $152.91 $10.22 +7.2%
Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? No 182 0.807 $146.97 $-4.33 -2.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat? No 150 0.925 $138.75 $-0.75 -0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? Yes 237 0.585 $138.64 $-6.80 -4.7%
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election? No 197 0.670 $131.91 $1.06 +0.8%
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? Yes 160 0.800 $128.00 $-2.25 -1.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat? Yes 118 0.940 $110.86 $-0.83 -0.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat? Yes 110 0.960 $105.55 $-2.20 -2.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-03 House seat? No 111 0.935 $103.78 $-0.55 -0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat? No 111 0.935 $103.78 $-0.55 -0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? Yes 111 0.899 $99.84 $-1.94 -1.9%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat? Yes 111 0.885 $98.23 $-1.67 -1.7%
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No 159 0.600 $95.16 $-10.43 -9.9%
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes 157 0.605 $94.99 $-7.25 -7.1%