pdlh
0x169b8e2a1d5a3e9d840a08074a090afa82a730c9
PnL (30d)
−$34
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$42
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
36W / 21L · 73 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
83W / 47L
Trades (30d)
130
across 17 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$5.72
avg win $5 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.39
$22 won / $56 lost
Reward / Risk
0.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $480
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
772 |
0.935 |
$721.70 |
$22.00 |
+3.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
310 |
0.987 |
$305.81 |
$2.63 |
+0.9% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
169 |
0.958 |
$162.27 |
$3.78 |
+2.4% |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
210 |
0.635 |
$133.29 |
$-3.85 |
-2.8% |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
436 |
0.305 |
$132.96 |
$-55.40 |
-29.4% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.963 |
$103.55 |
$6.16 |
+6.3% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.905 |
$81.45 |
$0.45 |
+0.6% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.210 |
$4.20 |
$-4.40 |
-51.2% |