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Trader leaderboard/longdated-poli

longdated-poli

0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 2L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
4
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $115,346 · all-time $3,485,437

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.4% 644W/1,890L 1218 $481,598
🏛 Politics 10.3% 10W/87L 209 $55,516
💵 Economy 12.8% 11W/75L 64 $17,289
₿ Crypto 3.1% 2W/62L 30 $5,864
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/9L 21 $3,199
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/7L 19 $5,523
⚽ Sports 11 $3,359
🔬 Science 3 $464
🌤 Weather 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

98 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 880 0.705 $620.40 $-152.96 -19.8%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 858 0.686 $588.82 $-170.25 -22.4%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 660 0.845 $557.70 $-34.10 -5.8%
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No 660 0.843 $556.05 $-8.44 -1.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 799 0.655 $523.35 $-155.81 -22.9%
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? Yes 616 0.820 $505.14 $-55.89 -10.0%
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No 698 0.664 $464.11 $-94.08 -16.9%
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No 538 0.840 $451.74 $-26.07 -5.5%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 497 0.854 $424.03 $-33.65 -7.4%
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? Yes 720 0.585 $421.29 $-130.71 -23.7%
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes 820 0.440 $360.88 $-167.11 -31.7%
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No 428 0.825 $352.97 $-38.49 -9.8%
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 440 0.784 $345.18 $-26.40 -7.1%
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No 419 0.817 $342.62 $-14.58 -4.1%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? No 440 0.695 $305.76 $-6.64 -2.1%
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 429 0.710 $304.56 $-22.56 -6.9%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? Yes 400 0.745 $298.00 $-50.00 -14.4%
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Yes 440 0.640 $281.60 $-48.40 -14.7%
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No 223 0.901 $200.85 $-0.79 -0.4%
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No 220 0.790 $173.80 $-22.00 -11.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? No 200 0.845 $169.00 $-5.00 -2.9%
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? Yes 178 0.869 $154.85 $-9.72 -5.9%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes 220 0.695 $152.88 $-5.52 -3.5%
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 169 0.905 $152.57 $-4.21 -2.7%
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? No 215 0.700 $150.50 $-27.95 -15.7%