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Trader leaderboard/longdated-poli

longdated-poli

0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$31
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$521
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
3W / 10L · 321 open
Win Return (30d)
9%
30W / 298L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
334
across 61 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$6.18
avg win $4 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.13
$4 won / $35 lost
Reward / Risk
0.50
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$33
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $117,329 · all-time $3,487,420

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.4% 644W/1,890L 1218 $481,598
🏛 Politics 10.2% 9W/79L 186 $44,541
💵 Economy 6.6% 4W/57L 52 $11,296
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/52L 23 $5,160
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 17 $3,950
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 16 $2,171
⚽ Sports 10 $3,085
🔬 Science 3 $464
🌤 Weather 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

100 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 880 0.700 $616.00 $-157.36 -20.3%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 858 0.695 $595.69 $-163.39 -21.5%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 660 0.845 $557.70 $-34.10 -5.8%
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No 660 0.843 $556.05 $-8.44 -1.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 799 0.655 $523.35 $-155.81 -22.9%
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? Yes 616 0.813 $501.07 $-59.95 -10.7%
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No 698 0.664 $464.11 $-94.08 -16.9%
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No 538 0.840 $451.74 $-26.07 -5.5%
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? Yes 720 0.585 $421.29 $-130.71 -23.7%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 497 0.844 $419.06 $-38.61 -8.4%
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes 820 0.445 $364.98 $-163.01 -30.9%
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No 428 0.835 $357.25 $-34.22 -8.7%
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 440 0.784 $345.18 $-26.40 -7.1%
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No 419 0.817 $342.62 $-14.58 -4.1%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? No 440 0.690 $303.56 $-8.84 -2.8%
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 429 0.705 $302.42 $-24.70 -7.6%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? Yes 400 0.745 $298.00 $-50.00 -14.4%
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Yes 440 0.670 $294.80 $-35.20 -10.7%
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No 223 0.902 $201.07 $-0.56 -0.3%
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No 220 0.790 $173.80 $-22.00 -11.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? No 200 0.855 $171.00 $-3.00 -1.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 209 0.790 $165.47 $-10.23 -5.8%
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? Yes 178 0.892 $159.13 $-5.44 -3.3%
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 169 0.905 $152.57 $-4.21 -2.7%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes 220 0.685 $150.70 $-7.70 -4.9%