0x1668d4b52386c4a3F472F6B045dd615cdE9843D5-1754989652496
0x1668d4b52386c4a3f472f6b045dd615cde9843d5
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$40
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 45 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
32W / 17L
Trades (30d)
49
across 11 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$2.93
avg win $3
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $300 · all-time $75,170
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
700 |
0.615 |
$430.50 |
$-101.50 |
-19.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.225 |
$157.49 |
$-31.59 |
-16.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.961 |
$96.05 |
$5.05 |
+5.5% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
570 |
0.165 |
$94.05 |
$-104.90 |
-52.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.905 |
$90.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
218 |
0.355 |
$77.52 |
$-11.10 |
-12.5% |
| Discord IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.293 |
$58.70 |
$-33.30 |
-36.2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Yes |
120 |
0.065 |
$7.80 |
$-3.20 |
-29.1% |