| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
110,000 |
0.835 |
$91,849.94 |
$450.56 |
+0.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
60,884 |
0.987 |
$60,062.50 |
$992.90 |
+1.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
46,626 |
0.982 |
$45,763.32 |
$2,179.20 |
+5.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
39,314 |
0.885 |
$34,792.75 |
$7,672.33 |
+28.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
40,000 |
0.865 |
$34,600.00 |
$1,902.28 |
+5.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
34,655 |
0.930 |
$32,229.33 |
$2,650.98 |
+9.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
42,442 |
0.735 |
$31,194.60 |
$452.17 |
+1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
31,000 |
0.865 |
$26,814.94 |
$1,405.23 |
+5.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
44,000 |
0.515 |
$22,659.98 |
$3,820.03 |
+20.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
23,000 |
0.966 |
$22,217.96 |
$1,678.08 |
+8.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
28,118 |
0.770 |
$21,650.60 |
$6,580.01 |
+43.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
19,279 |
0.940 |
$18,122.70 |
$1,307.82 |
+7.8% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
20,000 |
0.875 |
$17,500.00 |
$250.02 |
+1.4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
19,134 |
0.905 |
$17,316.10 |
$2,664.57 |
+18.2% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
15,490 |
0.980 |
$15,180.52 |
$1,282.37 |
+9.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
32,867 |
0.458 |
$15,053.14 |
$2,589.01 |
+20.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
16,156 |
0.865 |
$13,975.24 |
$3,128.29 |
+28.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
14,513 |
0.905 |
$13,134.16 |
$362.84 |
+2.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
12,360 |
0.977 |
$12,069.22 |
$574.72 |
+5.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30,376 |
0.365 |
$11,087.41 |
$526.55 |
+5.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.987 |
$9,865.00 |
$5.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
10,300 |
0.852 |
$8,775.77 |
$233.02 |
+2.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.855 |
$8,550.00 |
$150.02 |
+1.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
8,645 |
0.855 |
$7,391.33 |
$1,829.72 |
+32.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
6,947 |
0.963 |
$6,686.50 |
$186.84 |
+2.9% |