| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
110,000 |
0.845 |
$92,949.94 |
$1,550.56 |
+1.7% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
60,884 |
0.987 |
$60,062.50 |
$992.90 |
+1.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
46,626 |
0.981 |
$45,716.70 |
$2,132.58 |
+4.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
39,314 |
0.885 |
$34,792.75 |
$7,672.33 |
+28.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
40,000 |
0.865 |
$34,600.00 |
$1,902.28 |
+5.8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
42,442 |
0.735 |
$31,194.60 |
$452.17 |
+1.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
33,775 |
0.920 |
$31,072.90 |
$2,295.54 |
+8.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
31,000 |
0.865 |
$26,814.94 |
$1,405.23 |
+5.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
23,000 |
0.968 |
$22,252.46 |
$1,712.58 |
+8.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
44,000 |
0.495 |
$21,779.98 |
$2,940.03 |
+15.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
28,118 |
0.770 |
$21,650.60 |
$6,580.01 |
+43.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
19,279 |
0.945 |
$18,219.09 |
$1,404.22 |
+8.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
20,000 |
0.875 |
$17,500.00 |
$250.02 |
+1.4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
19,134 |
0.905 |
$17,316.10 |
$2,664.57 |
+18.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
32,867 |
0.521 |
$17,123.77 |
$4,659.64 |
+37.4% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
15,490 |
0.988 |
$15,296.70 |
$1,398.54 |
+10.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
14,513 |
0.905 |
$13,134.16 |
$362.84 |
+2.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
16,156 |
0.775 |
$12,521.17 |
$1,674.22 |
+15.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
12,360 |
0.976 |
$12,056.86 |
$562.36 |
+4.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30,376 |
0.365 |
$11,087.41 |
$526.55 |
+5.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.987 |
$9,865.00 |
$5.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
10,300 |
0.850 |
$8,750.01 |
$207.27 |
+2.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.855 |
$8,550.00 |
$150.02 |
+1.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
8,645 |
0.875 |
$7,564.22 |
$2,002.62 |
+36.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
6,947 |
0.963 |
$6,686.50 |
$186.84 |
+2.9% |