PnL (30d)

+$13

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$23

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

8W / 10L · 164 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

80W / 94L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

182

across 122 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$1.80

avg win $27 · loss $17

Profit Factor

1.18

$82 won / $70 lost

Reward / Risk

1.57

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$18

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.0% 22W/33L	189	$6,916
🏛 Politics	50.0% 3W/3L	60	$1,916
💵 Economy	—	8	$98
🎬 Culture	—	5	$79
⚽ Sports	—	1	$17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

129 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	223	0.974	$217.29	$0.84	+0.4%
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	205	0.976	$200.09	$6.15	+3.2%
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	324	0.615	$199.39	$64.80	+48.2%
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?	Yes	208	0.935	$194.48	$-1.04	-0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?	Yes	205	0.945	$193.72	$3.07	+1.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?	Yes	205	0.935	$191.68	$1.02	+0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?	Yes	205	0.925	$189.62	$-3.07	-1.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?	Yes	170	0.875	$149.04	$8.33	+5.9%
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?	Yes	150	0.945	$141.75	$0.75	+0.5%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	173	0.735	$127.16	$5.95	+4.9%
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	145	0.840	$121.93	$0.53	+0.4%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	195	0.625	$121.88	$22.42	+22.5%
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	212	0.560	$118.53	$4.01	+3.5%
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	324	0.360	$116.76	$-18.61	-13.7%
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	208	0.540	$112.43	$0.11	+0.1%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	101	0.986	$99.54	$3.59	+3.7%
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	100	0.979	$97.92	$5.12	+5.5%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	214	0.445	$95.16	$11.65	+13.9%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	110	0.865	$95.15	$74.25	+355.3%
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	209	0.455	$95.13	$7.77	+8.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	Yes	100	0.943	$94.25	$0.45	+0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?	Yes	99	0.938	$92.65	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	92	0.986	$90.67	$77.79	+603.9%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	103	0.855	$88.06	$4.63	+5.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?	Yes	91	0.955	$86.91	$0.45	+0.5%