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Trader leaderboard/PolyArbi

PolyArbi

0x15f640495cf23010380a34863bc94239584ee3f8
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
50%
4W / 4L
Trades (30d)
8
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,219 · all-time $89,306

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.0% 22W/33L 189 $6,916
🏛 Politics 50.0% 3W/3L 60 $1,916
💵 Economy 8 $98
🎬 Culture 5 $79
⚽ Sports 1 $17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

129 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? Yes 223 0.969 $216.29 $-0.16 -0.1%
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 205 0.976 $200.09 $6.15 +3.2%
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? Yes 324 0.615 $199.39 $64.80 +48.2%
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat? Yes 208 0.935 $194.48 $-1.04 -0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat? Yes 205 0.945 $193.72 $3.07 +1.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat? Yes 205 0.935 $191.68 $1.02 +0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat? Yes 205 0.925 $189.62 $-3.07 -1.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat? Yes 170 0.875 $149.04 $8.33 +5.9%
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat? Yes 150 0.945 $141.75 $0.75 +0.5%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? Yes 173 0.735 $127.16 $5.95 +4.9%
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes 145 0.840 $121.93 $0.53 +0.4%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes 195 0.625 $121.88 $22.42 +22.5%
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? Yes 212 0.565 $119.57 $5.05 +4.4%
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? Yes 324 0.360 $116.76 $-18.61 -13.7%
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 208 0.540 $112.43 $0.11 +0.1%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 101 0.986 $99.54 $3.59 +3.7%
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? Yes 100 0.978 $97.77 $4.97 +5.4%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 110 0.865 $95.15 $74.25 +355.3%
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 209 0.455 $95.13 $7.77 +8.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat? Yes 100 0.943 $94.25 $0.45 +0.5%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? Yes 214 0.440 $94.09 $10.58 +12.7%
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat? Yes 99 0.938 $92.65 $-0.05 -0.1%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 92 0.988 $90.85 $77.97 +605.4%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? Yes 103 0.855 $88.06 $4.63 +5.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat? Yes 91 0.955 $86.91 $0.45 +0.5%