Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x13ad9e8beeab772ff7095bf4aa5cba99ea8365fd
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
34W / 63L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
35W / 64L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
103
across 37 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.06
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.69
$4 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
1.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,631 · all-time $1,306,217

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.1% 979W/1,055L 839 $1,047
⚽ Sports 25.9% 45W/129L 78 $69
🎬 Culture 22.2% 18W/63L 34 $13
₿ Crypto 7.1% 1W/13L 9 $5
🏛 Politics 62.5% 25W/15L 9 $8
🌤 Weather 77.8% 14W/4L 6 $6
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $2
💵 Economy 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Degerfors IF O/U 5.5 Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Sporting CP vs. ZHFK Sisters: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Over 17 0.440 $7.40 $6.89 +1366.6%
Did a software or control system failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 8 0.350 $2.81 $2.57 +1068.3%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 68 0.025 $1.72 $1.21 +238.3%
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Coachella 2027? Yes 4 0.300 $1.19 $0.48 +66.6%
Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Kalagi Bussana 2 0.505 $1.10 $1.06 +2424.8%
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? Yes 2 0.490 $0.90 $0.79 +716.6%
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 2 0.350 $0.64 $0.59 +1066.5%
Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes 26 0.022 $0.57 $0.48 +553.2%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 17 0.034 $0.57 $0.14 +32.3%
Will no episode air? Yes 28 0.011 $0.29 $-0.03 -9.7%
Will the Colorado Rockies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 18 0.013 $0.25 $0.09 +56.9%
Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes 11 0.023 $0.24 $-0.18 -42.5%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? Yes 1 0.226 $0.23 $0.21 +770.2%
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 27 0.006 $0.18 $0.06 +57.2%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 30 0.002 $0.05 $-0.29 -86.4%
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 14 0.002 $0.02 $-0.12 -85.1%
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 14 0.002 $0.02 $-0.12 -85.1%
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 8 0.002 $0.01 $-0.15 -92.6%
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 7 0.002 $0.01 $-0.14 -92.5%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 7 0.002 $0.01 $-0.13 -92.5%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 7 0.002 $0.01 $-0.13 -92.5%
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 3 0.002 $0.00 $-0.05 -92.7%
Will Dan Hooker be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-0.02 -90.0%