Trader
0x13ad9e8beeab772ff7095bf4aa5cba99ea8365fd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$39
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+229.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
105W / 49L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
111W / 49L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
162
across 40 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$1.08
avg win $3 · loss $0
Profit Factor
8.75
$44 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
13.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,648 · all-time $1,306,234
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Degerfors IF O/U 5.5 Corners |
Under |
56 |
0.495 |
$27.71 |
$27.16 |
+4850.0% |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Coachella 2027? |
Yes |
4 |
0.455 |
$1.81 |
$1.09 |
+152.8% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? |
No |
68 |
0.025 |
$1.72 |
$1.21 |
+238.3% |
| Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Kalagi |
Bussana |
2 |
0.495 |
$1.08 |
$1.04 |
+2374.8% |
| Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.490 |
$0.90 |
$0.79 |
+716.6% |
| Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.018 |
$0.46 |
$0.37 |
+419.7% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? |
Yes |
18 |
0.013 |
$0.25 |
$0.09 |
+56.9% |
| Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? |
Yes |
11 |
0.022 |
$0.23 |
$-0.19 |
-45.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? |
Yes |
1 |
0.226 |
$0.23 |
$0.21 |
+770.2% |
| Will no episode air? |
Yes |
28 |
0.007 |
$0.21 |
$-0.12 |
-35.5% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.001 |
$0.02 |
$-0.32 |
-95.5% |