fqy2026
0x137060efbd6e6004b50f14b8ff8108254db22cfd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3,400
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,274
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
62W / 93L · 34 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
95W / 94L
Trades (30d)
189
across 7 markets · ~27 per market
EV / position
−$1,699.90
avg win $950 · loss $4,350
Profit Factor
0.22
$950 won / $4,350 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$385
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,797 · all-time $748,299
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
30,559 |
0.925 |
$28,267.13 |
$1,388.02 |
+5.2% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,528 |
0.300 |
$458.40 |
$12.49 |
+2.8% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
322 |
0.885 |
$285.38 |
$103.02 |
+56.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
144 |
0.725 |
$104.60 |
$-0.72 |
-0.7% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-2.46 |
-20.5% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.929 |
$9.29 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.875 |
$8.79 |
$-0.05 |
-0.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
10 |
0.515 |
$5.29 |
$0.56 |
+12.0% |