fqy2026
0x137060efbd6e6004b50f14b8ff8108254db22cfd
PnL (30d)
−$4,037
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,400
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
218W / 190L · 48 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
262W / 193L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
456
across 35 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$149.53
avg win $567 · loss $1,045
Profit Factor
0.68
$8,498 won / $12,536 lost
Reward / Risk
0.54
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$155
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,787 · all-time $748,289
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
30,559 |
0.925 |
$28,267.13 |
$1,388.02 |
+5.2% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,518 |
0.300 |
$455.44 |
$12.38 |
+2.8% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
322 |
0.755 |
$243.46 |
$61.10 |
+33.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
144 |
0.730 |
$105.32 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-2.46 |
-20.5% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.922 |
$9.22 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.875 |
$8.79 |
$-0.05 |
-0.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
10 |
0.495 |
$5.08 |
$0.36 |
+7.6% |