romanew-13
0x135a3ca6c19381ea505f37831528fef76c1c6270
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$27
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
137W / 9L · 49 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
167W / 28L
Trades (30d)
195
across 18 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$2.25
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
6.07
$32 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,810 · all-time $122,071
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.385 |
$5.86 |
$-1.56 |
-21.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
23 |
0.205 |
$4.65 |
$-2.61 |
-35.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
23 |
0.105 |
$2.39 |
$-3.30 |
-58.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
33 |
0.060 |
$1.98 |
$-5.27 |
-72.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.265 |
$1.33 |
$-0.03 |
-1.9% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.203 |
$1.07 |
$-2.20 |
-67.3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.165 |
$0.97 |
$-0.91 |
-48.4% |