romanew-13
0x135a3ca6c19381ea505f37831528fef76c1c6270
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$4
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
76%
104W / 32L · 56 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
159W / 33L
Trades (30d)
192
across 10 markets · ~19 per market
EV / position
−$0.61
avg win $2 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.72
$10 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,944 · all-time $122,205
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.370 |
$5.63 |
$-1.78 |
-24.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
23 |
0.175 |
$3.97 |
$-3.29 |
-45.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
23 |
0.095 |
$2.16 |
$-3.52 |
-62.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
33 |
0.065 |
$2.14 |
$-5.11 |
-70.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.412 |
$2.06 |
$-0.45 |
-17.8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.260 |
$1.30 |
$-0.05 |
-3.7% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.202 |
$1.06 |
$-2.20 |
-67.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.145 |
$0.85 |
$-1.03 |
-54.7% |