PnL (30d)

−$217

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-26.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

59W / 123L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

59W / 124L · 15 open

Trades (30d)

198

across 19 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$12.76

avg win $44 · loss $36

Profit Factor

0.50

$220 won / $437 lost

Reward / Risk

1.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$253

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.1% 125W/195L	38	$3,069
🏛 Politics	12.5% 5W/35L	6	$547
🎬 Culture	12.5% 5W/35L	6	$547

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	895	0.016	$14.33	$-11.00	-43.4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	516	0.004	$2.32	$-1.09	-31.9%