PnL (30d)

−$59

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

125W / 195L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

125W / 196L · 15 open

Trades (30d)

336

across 38 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$1.65

avg win $62 · loss $30

Profit Factor

0.92

$683 won / $742 lost

Reward / Risk

2.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$429

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.1% 125W/195L	38	$3,069
🏛 Politics	12.5% 5W/35L	6	$547
🎬 Culture	12.5% 5W/35L	6	$547

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	217	0.018	$4.02	$-9.01	-69.2%