PnL (30d)

−$2,364

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$607

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

601W / 208L · 297 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

823W / 278L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

1,106

across 79 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

−$48.25

avg win $365 · loss $1,321

Profit Factor

0.85

$13,488 won / $15,852 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.3% 601W/208L	79	$242,996
🏛 Politics	—	5	$23,921
💵 Economy	—	1	$54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?	No	12,780	0.785	$10,032.15	$196.14	+2.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	950	0.875	$831.24	$4.75	+0.6%
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	Yes	4,356	0.145	$631.55	$-246.55	-28.1%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	16,531	0.033	$537.27	$-1,026.27	-65.6%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	1,761	0.155	$272.88	$-1,011.87	-78.8%
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?	Yes	320	0.245	$78.40	$-135.99	-63.4%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	300	0.165	$49.50	$-7.50	-13.2%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?	Yes	1,290	0.021	$27.61	$-347.09	-92.6%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 10% and 20%?	No	27	0.963	$25.52	$1.15	+4.7%