PnL (30d)

+$63

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+27.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

25W / 53L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

32W / 61L

Trades (30d)

93

across 67 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$1.12

avg win $13 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.46

$198 won / $136 lost

Reward / Risk

4.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.1% 25W/53L	67	$396
🎬 Culture	66.7% 8W/4L	9	$77
🏛 Politics	60.0% 6W/4L	9	$92
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	3	$10
💵 Economy	—	2	$12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	45	0.135	$6.14	$1.14	+22.7%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	33	0.165	$5.50	$0.50	+10.0%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	47	0.115	$5.38	$0.38	+7.7%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	271	0.018	$4.74	$-1.26	-21.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	288	0.015	$4.17	$0.06	+1.3%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	263	0.009	$2.50	$-4.19	-62.7%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	66	0.028	$1.80	$-0.65	-26.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	6	0.185	$1.09	$0.09	+8.8%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	5	0.102	$0.51	$0.11	+26.8%