notbroken
0x10ada67f59c7449f745d9ef4213d26c2e5a4827c
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$284
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$60
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
111W / 201L · 47 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
141W / 209L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
359
across 98 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$3.12
avg win $38 · loss $29
Profit Factor
0.82
$1,326 won / $1,610 lost
Reward / Risk
1.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$104
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,020 · all-time $293,579
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
Yes |
346 |
0.600 |
$207.32 |
$77.33 |
+59.5% |
| Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026? |
Yes |
419 |
0.235 |
$98.54 |
$8.18 |
+9.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
592 |
0.070 |
$41.14 |
$-0.24 |
-0.6% |