PnL (30d)

−$483

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$109

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

144W / 244L · 56 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

179W / 254L · 11 open

Trades (30d)

444

across 137 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.89

avg win $40 · loss $31

Profit Factor

0.80

$1,878 won / $2,361 lost

Reward / Risk

1.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$240

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.1% 144W/244L	137	$10,101
⚽ Sports	61.5% 8W/5L	7	$365
₿ Crypto	100.0% 5W/0L	3	$556
💵 Economy	100.0% 5W/0L	3	$556
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	3	$178
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$136

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	346	0.600	$207.32	$77.33	+59.5%
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?	Yes	235	0.235	$55.15	$3.57	+6.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	592	0.069	$40.85	$-0.54	-1.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	57	0.505	$28.93	$9.73	+50.7%