weilaohei
0x10ab807ac93681f1f8d567501721ce245ec5b2e8
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$161
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-18.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
74W / 110L
Win Return (30d)
40%
74W / 110L
Trades (30d)
184
across 49 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$3.29
avg win $8 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.43
$122 won / $283 lost
Reward / Risk
0.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$114
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,803,289
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
33.5%
226W/449L
|
210 |
$3,412 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
77.8%
28W/8L
|
6 |
$902 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.345 |
$17.24 |
$-15.76 |
-47.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.645 |
$12.90 |
$-3.30 |
-20.4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-15.50 |
-62.0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.038 |
$7.70 |
$-9.30 |
-54.7% |