PnL (30d)

−$261

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

226W / 449L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

232W / 449L

Trades (30d)

681

across 210 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$1.25

avg win $10 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.71

$640 won / $901 lost

Reward / Risk

1.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$163

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.5% 226W/449L	210	$3,412
🌤 Weather	65.1% 28W/15L	8	$918
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$106
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$106

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	50	0.345	$17.24	$-15.76	-47.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	20	0.645	$12.90	$-3.30	-20.4%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.095	$9.50	$-15.50	-62.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	200	0.037	$7.50	$-9.50	-55.9%