| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
46 |
0.865 |
$40.06 |
$0.34 |
+0.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.905 |
$23.34 |
$3.13 |
+15.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
39 |
0.460 |
$18.01 |
$2.06 |
+12.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
17 |
0.865 |
$14.80 |
$0.35 |
+2.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
15 |
0.972 |
$14.31 |
$0.16 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
32 |
0.445 |
$14.30 |
$-0.48 |
-3.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
14 |
0.962 |
$13.28 |
$3.06 |
+29.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
16 |
0.850 |
$13.28 |
$0.34 |
+2.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.935 |
$13.12 |
$0.36 |
+2.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
13 |
0.969 |
$12.62 |
$1.04 |
+9.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.895 |
$12.53 |
$3.24 |
+35.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
13 |
0.925 |
$11.92 |
$3.99 |
+50.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.825 |
$11.41 |
$-0.10 |
-0.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.860 |
$11.04 |
$2.50 |
+29.3% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.915 |
$10.83 |
$0.18 |
+1.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.988 |
$10.62 |
$0.94 |
+9.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
11 |
0.974 |
$10.42 |
$0.12 |
+1.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.964 |
$10.04 |
$1.09 |
+12.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
25 |
0.385 |
$9.76 |
$0.13 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
18 |
0.535 |
$9.68 |
$-2.67 |
-21.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
20 |
0.485 |
$9.54 |
$-2.66 |
-21.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
10 |
0.924 |
$9.23 |
$0.27 |
+3.1% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
10 |
0.900 |
$9.15 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.795 |
$8.96 |
$-0.22 |
-2.4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.905 |
$8.89 |
$0.34 |
+4.0% |