PnL (30d)

−$94

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-20.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

16W / 48L · 33 open

Win Return (30d)

36%

35W / 62L

Trades (30d)

97

across 75 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$1.83

avg win $9 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.57

$125 won / $218 lost

Reward / Risk

1.51

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$117

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	38.3% 108W/174L	352	$1,777
🌤 Weather	25.0% 16W/48L	75	$447

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

100 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	28	1.000	$27.82	$18.15	+187.7%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	25	1.000	$25.16	$15.47	+159.7%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	20	1.000	$20.40	$10.67	+109.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.998	$19.56	$12.30	+169.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	Yes	18	1.000	$18.24	$8.48	+86.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	17	1.000	$17.21	$12.39	+257.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	16	1.000	$16.09	$11.26	+233.2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	22	0.720	$15.91	$6.19	+63.7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	22	0.660	$14.35	$4.63	+47.7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	24	0.550	$13.45	$3.76	+38.8%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	24	0.555	$13.37	$3.68	+38.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.705	$13.12	$3.37	+34.6%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.485	$12.86	$3.18	+32.9%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	28	0.455	$12.78	$3.11	+32.1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	22	0.565	$12.70	$2.98	+30.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.465	$12.47	$2.79	+28.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	12	1.000	$12.43	$7.58	+156.3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.425	$11.65	$1.97	+20.4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	20	0.575	$11.50	$4.24	+58.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	23	0.485	$11.34	$1.64	+16.9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.410	$11.06	$1.37	+14.2%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	15	0.715	$10.83	$2.66	+32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	18	0.580	$10.35	$5.53	+114.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	26	0.390	$10.06	$0.37	+3.8%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	17	0.595	$9.95	$0.15	+1.5%