PnL (30d)

−$68

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

108W / 174L · 142 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

192W / 232L

Trades (30d)

424

across 352 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.27

avg win $6 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.90

$628 won / $697 lost

Reward / Risk

1.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$182

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	38.3% 108W/174L	352	$1,777
🌤 Weather	25.0% 16W/48L	75	$447

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

100 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	28	1.000	$27.82	$18.15	+187.7%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	25	1.000	$25.16	$15.47	+159.7%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.997	$20.35	$10.62	+109.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.993	$19.46	$12.20	+168.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	Yes	18	1.000	$18.24	$8.48	+86.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	17	1.000	$17.21	$12.39	+257.0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	22	0.730	$16.13	$6.41	+66.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	16	1.000	$16.09	$11.26	+233.2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	24	0.635	$15.29	$5.60	+57.8%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.540	$14.32	$4.64	+48.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	24	0.580	$14.18	$4.49	+46.4%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	22	0.630	$13.70	$3.98	+41.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.715	$13.31	$3.56	+36.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	28	0.460	$12.92	$3.25	+33.6%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	12	1.000	$12.43	$7.58	+156.3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	22	0.545	$12.26	$2.54	+26.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.445	$12.20	$2.52	+26.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.620	$11.70	$1.94	+19.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.565	$11.12	$1.38	+14.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	23	0.475	$11.10	$1.40	+14.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	31	0.355	$11.10	$1.45	+15.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	20	0.545	$10.90	$3.64	+50.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.395	$10.60	$0.92	+9.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.385	$10.39	$0.70	+7.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	26	0.400	$10.32	$0.63	+6.5%