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Trader leaderboard/perfectnostalgia

perfectnostalgia

0x0ffcad4963e25dc150774363f4061ebe840c8236
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$121
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$234
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
3W / 1L · 50 open
Win Return (30d)
98%
53W / 1L
Trades (30d)
54
across 6 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$60.26
avg win $181 · loss $60
Profit Factor
3.01
$181 won / $60 lost
Reward / Risk
3.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,130 · all-time $3,296,538

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 26.3% 35W/98L 34 $56,660
💵 Economy 6.7% 1W/14L 9 $8,930
🏛 Politics 3 $4,446

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? Yes 14,870 0.670 $9,963.22 $-15.44 -0.2%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 8,956 0.885 $7,925.67 $398.39 +5.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 7,060 0.865 $6,107.03 $324.44 +5.6%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No 6,943 0.795 $5,519.85 $2,823.66 +104.7%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? Yes 8,699 0.465 $4,045.00 $581.95 +16.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? Yes 10,156 0.305 $3,097.59 $17.33 +0.6%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? Yes 10,470 0.245 $2,565.12 $-453.04 -15.0%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No 2,819 0.875 $2,466.44 $568.59 +30.0%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No 2,513 0.964 $2,422.95 $281.67 +13.2%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 8,033 0.298 $2,397.79 $189.98 +8.6%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? Yes 7,174 0.165 $1,183.66 $-271.32 -18.6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,000 0.515 $1,030.00 $10.00 +1.0%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 3,454 0.295 $1,018.88 $-1,625.60 -61.5%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No 1,499 0.615 $921.88 $8.22 +0.9%
ECB rate cut in 2026? No 906 0.910 $824.64 $27.19 +3.4%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 1,101 0.210 $231.22 $33.03 +16.7%
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? No 169 0.658 $111.17 $5.07 +4.8%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? No 127 0.830 $105.08 $15.19 +16.9%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? No 79 0.925 $72.63 $20.02 +38.1%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? Yes 102 0.170 $17.37 $6.13 +54.5%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes 20 0.760 $15.20 $1.60 +11.8%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 463 0.030 $14.12 $-13.19 -48.3%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? Yes 20 0.410 $8.20 $3.80 +86.4%
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 845 0.006 $5.07 $-3.24 -39.0%
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July? Yes 2 0.106 $0.23 $0.13 +121.8%