PnL (30d)

−$2,539

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$754

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

26%

35W / 98L · 846 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

416W / 563L

Trades (30d)

979

across 34 markets · ~29 per market

EV / position

−$211.56

avg win $125 · loss $324

Profit Factor

0.13

$375 won / $2,914 lost

Reward / Risk

0.39

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$27

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	26.3% 35W/98L	34	$56,660
💵 Economy	6.7% 1W/14L	9	$8,930
🏛 Politics	—	3	$4,446

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	14,870	0.670	$9,963.22	$-15.44	-0.2%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	8,956	0.885	$7,925.67	$398.39	+5.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	6,870	0.865	$5,942.68	$323.48	+5.8%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	6,943	0.795	$5,519.85	$2,823.66	+104.7%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	8,688	0.465	$4,039.83	$581.88	+16.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	10,156	0.310	$3,148.37	$68.11	+2.2%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	2,819	0.875	$2,466.44	$568.59	+30.0%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	No	2,513	0.964	$2,422.95	$281.67	+13.2%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	Yes	10,470	0.230	$2,408.07	$-610.09	-20.2%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	8,033	0.298	$2,397.79	$189.98	+8.6%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	7,174	0.165	$1,183.66	$-271.32	-18.6%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	3,454	0.295	$1,018.88	$-1,625.60	-61.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	2,000	0.495	$990.00	$-30.00	-2.9%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	1,499	0.615	$921.88	$8.22	+0.9%
ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	906	0.910	$824.64	$27.19	+3.4%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	1,101	0.210	$231.22	$33.03	+16.7%
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	No	169	0.657	$111.09	$4.98	+4.7%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?	No	127	0.825	$104.44	$14.56	+16.2%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	No	79	0.925	$72.63	$20.02	+38.1%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?	Yes	102	0.175	$17.88	$6.64	+59.1%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	20	0.765	$15.30	$1.70	+12.5%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	463	0.030	$14.12	$-13.19	-48.3%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	Yes	20	0.405	$8.10	$3.70	+84.1%
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	845	0.006	$5.07	$-3.24	-39.0%
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?	Yes	2	0.109	$0.24	$0.13	+127.0%