TheSwedishWolf
0x0fafcd98288de61a3350b24b8a1ecc1284bdd0d9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$132
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
7W / 0L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
7W / 4L
Trades (30d)
11
across 3 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$131.81
avg win $132
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,981 · all-time $1,027,292
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
2,240 |
0.875 |
$1,960.36 |
$-37.88 |
-1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,784 |
0.955 |
$1,702.58 |
$54.91 |
+3.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
778 |
0.235 |
$182.80 |
$-332.38 |
-64.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
204 |
0.635 |
$129.39 |
$-3.06 |
-2.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
205 |
0.295 |
$60.45 |
$-64.55 |
-51.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.516 |
$45.39 |
$-4.61 |
-9.2% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.095 |
$5.50 |
$-5.50 |
-50.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
401 |
0.001 |
$0.20 |
$-38.68 |
-99.5% |