TheSwedishWolf
0x0fafcd98288de61a3350b24b8a1ecc1284bdd0d9
PnL (30d)
−$58
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$482
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
38W / 37L · 37 open
Win Return (30d)
42%
47W / 65L
Trades (30d)
112
across 51 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.61
avg win $99 · loss $66
Profit Factor
0.96
$1,385 won / $1,443 lost
Reward / Risk
1.51
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,981 · all-time $1,027,292
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
2,240 |
0.875 |
$1,960.36 |
$-37.88 |
-1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,784 |
0.964 |
$1,718.64 |
$70.97 |
+4.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
778 |
0.235 |
$182.80 |
$-332.38 |
-64.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
204 |
0.635 |
$129.39 |
$-3.06 |
-2.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
205 |
0.275 |
$56.35 |
$-68.65 |
-54.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.489 |
$43.02 |
$-6.99 |
-14.0% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.100 |
$5.79 |
$-5.21 |
-47.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
401 |
0.001 |
$0.20 |
$-38.68 |
-99.5% |