PnL (30d)

−$109

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$534

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

6%

10W / 153L · 473 open

Win Return (30d)

3%

17W / 598L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

636

across 134 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$2.94

avg win $1 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.03

$3 won / $112 lost

Reward / Risk

0.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$20

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	4.5% 195W/4,126L	1920	$210,926
🌤 Weather	1.9% 4W/205L	77	$4,293
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/25L	45	$7,442
💵 Economy	13.3% 2W/13L	45	$6,038
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/24L	35	$5,534
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/8L	17	$1,572
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	14	$1,077
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/9L	13	$1,404
🔬 Science	—	1	$293

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	44	0.330	$14.52	$-7.04	-32.7%
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?	Yes	50	0.235	$11.75	$-7.25	-38.2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in August?	No	15	0.125	$1.88	$-2.02	-51.9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.085	$0.41	$-0.36	-46.9%
Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-11.90	-99.2%