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Trader

0x0f3433d8b7596000bf1046aa822308d93cf67684
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
4W / 2L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
6W / 2L
Trades (30d)
8
across 6 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.74
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.10
$0 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,017 · all-time $11,274,085

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.4% 4,164W/9,082L 151 $874,218
💵 Economy 1 $52
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/11L 1 $1,428
₿ Crypto 1 $101

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 5,623 0.905 $5,088.79 $232.10 +4.8%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 900 0.913 $822.15 $-32.85 -3.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 900 0.883 $795.15 $30.25 +4.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 900 0.866 $778.95 $18.95 +2.5%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 900 0.790 $711.45 $-39.77 -5.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 252 0.945 $237.71 $30.69 +14.8%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 264 0.745 $196.63 $23.99 +13.9%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 920 0.209 $192.76 $37.62 +24.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,375 0.115 $158.12 $4.06 +2.6%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No 156 0.980 $152.80 $7.71 +5.3%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 224 0.625 $140.18 $57.01 +68.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 869 0.117 $101.27 $-39.87 -28.2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 73 0.945 $68.98 $5.79 +9.2%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 81 0.770 $62.37 $18.63 +42.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 244 0.245 $59.78 $-34.36 -36.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 863 0.055 $47.47 $-104.79 -68.8%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 123 0.344 $42.30 $-13.59 -24.3%
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 420 0.095 $39.87 $-17.06 -30.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 38 0.981 $37.26 $0.70 +1.9%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 649 0.039 $25.31 $-6.62 -20.7%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 27 0.900 $24.30 $4.32 +21.6%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes 113 0.175 $19.77 $-44.77 -69.4%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 20 0.985 $19.69 $1.49 +8.2%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes 131 0.145 $18.99 $-4.62 -19.6%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 170 0.100 $17.00 $10.30 +153.7%