PnL (30d)

−$183,982

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-23.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

4,164W / 9,082L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

4,171W / 9,084L

Trades (30d)

13,255

across 151 markets · ~88 per market

EV / position

−$1,251.58

avg win $7,774 · loss $4,626

Profit Factor

0.63

$310,960 won / $494,942 lost

Reward / Risk

1.68

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,428

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.4% 4,164W/9,082L	151	$874,218
💵 Economy	—	1	$52
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/11L	1	$1,428
₿ Crypto	—	1	$101

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	5,623	0.905	$5,088.79	$232.10	+4.8%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	900	0.911	$820.35	$-34.65	-4.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	900	0.883	$795.15	$30.25	+4.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	900	0.866	$778.95	$18.95	+2.5%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	900	0.790	$711.45	$-39.77	-5.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	252	0.945	$237.71	$30.69	+14.8%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	264	0.746	$196.89	$24.26	+14.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	920	0.209	$192.76	$37.62	+24.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,375	0.115	$158.12	$4.06	+2.6%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	156	0.980	$152.80	$7.71	+5.3%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	224	0.625	$140.18	$57.01	+68.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	869	0.117	$101.27	$-39.87	-28.2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	73	0.945	$68.98	$5.79	+9.2%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	81	0.770	$62.37	$18.63	+42.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	244	0.245	$59.78	$-34.36	-36.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	863	0.055	$47.47	$-104.79	-68.8%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	123	0.344	$42.30	$-13.59	-24.3%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	38	0.981	$37.26	$0.70	+1.9%
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	420	0.080	$33.57	$-23.36	-41.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	649	0.037	$24.34	$-7.59	-23.8%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	27	0.900	$24.30	$4.32	+21.6%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	113	0.185	$20.91	$-43.64	-67.6%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	20	0.985	$19.69	$1.49	+8.2%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	131	0.145	$18.99	$-4.62	-19.6%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	170	0.101	$17.09	$10.39	+155.0%