SplendidAmadeus
0x0dd60a6ddeea6f93659789cac7af6a9d12835f62
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6,558
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$562
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 23L · 77 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
77W / 23L
Trades (30d)
100
across 3 markets · ~33 per market
EV / position
−$6,558.24
· loss $6,558
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $6,558 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$1,561
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,226 · all-time $7,662,664
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
19,117 |
0.967 |
$18,476.64 |
$533.06 |
+3.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
14,035 |
0.978 |
$13,719.09 |
$179.52 |
+1.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
8,055 |
0.935 |
$7,531.43 |
$290.27 |
+4.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? |
No |
5,318 |
0.940 |
$4,999.30 |
$3.08 |
+0.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
5,546 |
0.886 |
$4,916.42 |
$31.39 |
+0.6% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
4,700 |
0.996 |
$4,678.85 |
$319.86 |
+7.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.845 |
$4,225.00 |
$50.85 |
+1.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,750 |
0.795 |
$1,391.25 |
$61.25 |
+4.6% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? |
No |
748 |
0.935 |
$699.38 |
$11.22 |
+1.6% |