SplendidAmadeus
0x0dd60a6ddeea6f93659789cac7af6a9d12835f62
PnL (30d)
−$29,528
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,320
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
520W / 513L · 113 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
629W / 517L
Trades (30d)
1,146
across 104 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$310.82
avg win $385 · loss $1,311
Profit Factor
0.42
$21,585 won / $51,113 lost
Reward / Risk
0.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8,309
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,671 · all-time $7,661,109
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
19,117 |
0.968 |
$18,495.75 |
$552.18 |
+3.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
14,035 |
0.979 |
$13,733.13 |
$193.55 |
+1.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
8,055 |
0.925 |
$7,450.88 |
$209.72 |
+2.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? |
No |
5,318 |
0.943 |
$5,012.60 |
$16.38 |
+0.3% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
5,546 |
0.886 |
$4,916.42 |
$31.39 |
+0.6% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
4,700 |
0.978 |
$4,596.60 |
$237.61 |
+5.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.845 |
$4,225.00 |
$50.85 |
+1.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,750 |
0.805 |
$1,408.75 |
$78.75 |
+5.9% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? |
No |
748 |
0.935 |
$699.38 |
$11.22 |
+1.6% |