PnL (30d)

+$3,141

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$97

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+57.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

66W / 145L · 231 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

153W / 285L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

442

across 16 markets · ~28 per market

EV / position

+$785.22

avg win $1,698 · loss $128

Profit Factor

13.26

$3,397 won / $256 lost

Reward / Risk

13.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$84

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.1% 66W/169L	21	$12,580
🏛 Politics	5.1% 3W/56L	14	$2,877
💵 Economy	5.1% 3W/56L	10	$2,051
🌤 Weather	—	1	$8
🔬 Science	—	1	$8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	30,000	0.065	$1,950.00	$-168.18	-7.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	50,493	0.011	$580.66	$10.96	+1.9%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	9,707	0.046	$451.38	$3.06	+0.7%
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	32,500	0.007	$243.75	$-61.23	-20.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	500	0.465	$232.50	$-3.10	-1.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	8,200	0.013	$110.70	$5.61	+5.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	100	0.485	$48.51	$-3.72	-7.1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.017	$1.65	$0.04	+2.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.95	$-0.06	-5.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.75	$-0.10	-11.9%