PnL (30d)

+$3,124

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$239

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+49.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

66W / 169L · 478 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

176W / 533L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

713

across 21 markets · ~34 per market

EV / position

+$520.62

avg win $1,698 · loss $68

Profit Factor

12.43

$3,397 won / $273 lost

Reward / Risk

24.86

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$64

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.1% 66W/169L	21	$12,539
🏛 Politics	5.1% 3W/56L	14	$2,871
💵 Economy	5.1% 3W/56L	10	$2,046
🌤 Weather	—	1	$8
🔬 Science	—	1	$8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	30,000	0.065	$1,950.00	$-168.18	-7.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	50,238	0.009	$477.26	$-90.08	-15.9%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	10,000	0.043	$425.00	$-36.68	-7.9%
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	31,995	0.008	$255.96	$-45.30	-15.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	500	0.475	$237.50	$1.90	+0.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	8,200	0.013	$110.70	$5.61	+5.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	100	0.505	$50.51	$-1.72	-3.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-1.01	-11.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.017	$1.65	$0.04	+2.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.95	$-0.06	-5.9%