PnL (30d)

+$111

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$75

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

11%

92W / 710L · 112 open

Win Return (30d)

18%

164W / 749L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

914

across 99 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$1.38

avg win $44 · loss $8

Profit Factor

1.20

$664 won / $553 lost

Reward / Risk

5.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$37

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.0% 167W/1,120L	200	$3,273
🏛 Politics	4.2% 11W/254L	36	$329
🎬 Culture	4.2% 11W/254L	36	$329

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	110	0.430	$47.30	$38.58	+442.4%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	50	0.539	$26.98	$18.39	+214.1%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.140	$14.00	$5.75	+69.7%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	59	0.140	$8.21	$3.39	+70.2%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	183	0.042	$7.59	$7.35	+3144.7%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	460	0.015	$6.89	$4.91	+248.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	285	0.022	$6.27	$0.40	+6.8%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	155	0.026	$4.12	$3.34	+430.0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	220	0.015	$3.41	$-1.03	-23.2%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	61	0.052	$3.22	$2.99	+1312.4%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.015	$3.00	$-5.20	-63.4%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	200	0.011	$2.10	$-0.10	-4.5%
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	413	0.005	$2.06	$0.32	+18.5%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	70	0.029	$2.03	$1.82	+866.6%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	240	0.007	$1.80	$0.19	+11.5%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.006	$1.30	$-2.90	-69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.25	$-1.25	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	270	0.004	$0.94	$-2.71	-74.2%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	330	0.003	$0.82	$-1.91	-69.9%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	500	0.002	$0.75	$-2.25	-75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	446	0.002	$0.67	$-0.34	-34.0%
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	164	0.004	$0.66	$0.45	+212.2%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.005	$0.58	$0.05	+10.0%
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	131	0.002	$0.20	$0.07	+50.0%