PnL (30d)

+$292

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$72

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

13%

167W / 1,120L · 123 open

Win Return (30d)

16%

230W / 1,179L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,410

across 199 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$1.67

avg win $52 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.19

$1,811 won / $1,519 lost

Reward / Risk

4.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$333

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.0% 167W/1,120L	199	$3,265
🏛 Politics	4.0% 11W/264L	36	$323
🎬 Culture	4.0% 11W/264L	36	$323

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	110	0.385	$42.35	$33.63	+385.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	50	0.535	$26.77	$18.19	+211.8%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	363	0.051	$18.68	$16.89	+945.0%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.110	$11.00	$2.75	+33.3%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	59	0.140	$8.21	$3.39	+70.2%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	183	0.032	$5.76	$5.52	+2362.8%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.019	$3.80	$-4.40	-53.7%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	143	0.026	$3.80	$3.08	+430.0%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	61	0.054	$3.31	$3.08	+1352.8%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	220	0.015	$3.30	$-1.14	-25.7%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.023	$2.42	$0.14	+6.4%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	65	0.034	$2.17	$1.98	+1016.6%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	200	0.011	$2.10	$-0.10	-4.5%
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	316	0.005	$1.58	$-0.07	-4.0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.007	$1.40	$-2.80	-66.7%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.25	$-1.25	-50.0%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	143	0.007	$1.00	$-0.13	-11.4%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	270	0.004	$0.94	$-2.71	-74.2%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	330	0.003	$0.82	$-1.91	-69.9%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	500	0.002	$0.75	$-2.25	-75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	446	0.002	$0.67	$-0.34	-34.0%
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	164	0.004	$0.66	$0.45	+212.2%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.005	$0.58	$0.05	+10.0%
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	131	0.002	$0.20	$0.07	+50.0%