PnL (30d)

+$99

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

27%

328W / 899L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

26%

329W / 913L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

1,244

across 430 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.23

avg win $14 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.08

$1,369 won / $1,271 lost

Reward / Risk

3.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$143

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.0% 1,205W/3,097L	1468	$13,693
🌤 Weather	10.0% 31W/279L	95	$591

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	27	0.370	$9.99	$4.05	+68.2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	22	0.375	$8.25	$2.31	+38.9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	18	0.365	$6.57	$0.63	+10.6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	28	0.215	$6.03	$2.95	+95.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6?	Yes	19	0.310	$5.89	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	18	0.315	$5.67	$-0.27	-4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 6?	Yes	28	0.200	$5.62	$0.28	+5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	17	0.330	$5.61	$-0.17	-2.9%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.210	$5.25	$-0.75	-12.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6?	Yes	24	0.215	$5.16	$-0.84	-14.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	40	0.125	$5.00	$0.20	+4.2%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	28	0.175	$4.90	$-0.98	-16.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	65	0.075	$4.88	$0.32	+7.1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	58	0.075	$4.35	$-0.77	-15.0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	62	0.065	$4.03	$-0.93	-18.7%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	Yes	31	0.110	$3.41	$-2.48	-42.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	14	0.225	$3.15	$0.91	+40.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.110	$2.78	$-2.53	-47.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	10	0.215	$2.15	$0.35	+19.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	7	0.305	$2.13	$0.31	+17.3%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	52	0.041	$2.11	$-2.57	-55.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	37	0.025	$0.93	$-5.00	-84.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	61	0.015	$0.92	$-4.58	-83.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6?	Yes	61	0.012	$0.73	$-1.71	-70.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	1	0.315	$0.45	$0.02	+5.0%