PnL (30d)

−$202

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$40

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

1,205W / 3,097L · 109 open

Win Return (30d)

28%

1,228W / 3,182L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

4,411

across 1,468 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.14

avg win $15 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.96

$4,857 won / $5,059 lost

Reward / Risk

3.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$208

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.0% 1,205W/3,097L	1468	$13,693
🌤 Weather	10.0% 31W/279L	95	$591

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	22	0.385	$8.47	$2.53	+42.6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	27	0.255	$6.88	$0.94	+15.9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	18	0.365	$6.57	$0.63	+10.6%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.235	$5.87	$-0.12	-2.1%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6?	Yes	19	0.305	$5.79	$-0.09	-1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 6?	Yes	28	0.205	$5.76	$0.42	+7.9%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	17	0.335	$5.70	$-0.08	-1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	18	0.310	$5.58	$-0.36	-6.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	40	0.135	$5.40	$0.60	+12.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.200	$5.06	$-0.25	-4.8%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6?	Yes	24	0.205	$4.92	$-1.08	-18.0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	28	0.160	$4.48	$-1.40	-23.8%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	28	0.155	$4.35	$1.26	+40.9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	62	0.065	$4.03	$-0.93	-18.7%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	Yes	31	0.115	$3.56	$-2.32	-39.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	10	0.345	$3.45	$1.65	+91.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	61	0.040	$2.44	$-3.05	-55.6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	7	0.310	$2.17	$0.35	+19.2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	52	0.042	$2.16	$-2.52	-53.9%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	58	0.035	$2.03	$-3.09	-60.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	37	0.030	$1.11	$-4.81	-81.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	65	0.015	$0.97	$-3.58	-78.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6?	Yes	61	0.012	$0.73	$-1.71	-70.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.045	$0.45	$-0.15	-25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	1	0.315	$0.45	$0.02	+5.0%